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FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS

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FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS

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Academic year 2024/2025

Course ID
SEM0087
Teachers
Luca Gambetti (Lecturer)
Ivan Petrella (Lecturer)
Degree course
Finance
Year
2nd year
Teaching period
First semester
Type
Related or integrative
Credits/Recognition
6
Course disciplinary sector (SSD)
SECS-P/05 - econometrics
Delivery
Formal authority
Language
English
Attendance
Obligatory
Type of examination
Written
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Sommario del corso

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News

Cancellation of mailing lists and newsletters on the Campusnet platform of the Master's Degree in Quantitative Finance and Insurance
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Course objectives

This course provides an introduction to the econometric techniques used for the analysis of economic and financial time series. The course begins with an overview of ARMA and VARMA models, and then focuses on the nonlinear time series model used for the analysis of financial time series. In particular, the course will introduce the univariate nonlinear time series models used for the analysis of financial volatility (GARCH models) and the multivariate nonlinear models for the analysis of correlations (DCC models). 

 

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Results of learning outcomes

Students are expected to learn how to use the economeetric models discussed and to conduct individually analyses of economic and financial data.

 

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Program

0. User's Guide

 

1. Intro to Times Series

1.1. Time Series in Economics and Finance

1.2. Time Series as Stochastic Processes

1.3. Time Series Properties

 

2. Univariate Linear Time Series (ARMA)

2.1. Linear Time Series: Models

2.2. Linear Time Series: Estimation

2.2 Linear Time Series: Forecasting

2.4. Linear Time Series: Practice

 

3. Multivariate Linear Time Series (VARMA)

3.1. Linear Time Series: Models

3.2. Linear Time Series: Estimation

3.3. Linear Time Series: Forecasting

3.4. Linear Time Series: Practice

 

4. Volatility Modeling
4.1. Volatility Modeling: ARCH and GARCH
4.2. Volatility Modeling: Asymmetric Effects
4.3. Volatility Modeling: Prediction and Evalution
4.4. Volatility Modeling: Stochastic Volatility
4.5.  Volatility Modeling: High Frequency Data Based Volatility Modelling
4.6. Application: Risk management (VaR and ES)
 
4.7. Application: Density Forecasting  
5. Multivariate Volatility Modeling
5.1. Factor Models  
 
5.2. Multivariate Volatility Models
 
5.3. Time varying correlation models

 

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Course delivery

The course consists of 48 lecture hours. The course includes both theory lectures and practical sessions. Practical sessions will be done using Matlab. 

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Learning assessment methods

- The exam consists of two parts: 1) a short paper (50% of the grade), and 2) in-class exam (50% of the grade) 

Suggested readings and bibliography

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Analysis of Financial Time Series (13rd Edition). Ruey S. Tsay

Time Series Analysis. James D. Hamilton



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